US home sales unexpectedly hit nine-month high

US home sales unexpectedly rose in October, reaching their highest level in nine months, though higher prices amid tight supply continued to sideline first-time buyers from the market.

The report from the National Association of Realtors on Monday also showed an increase in the share of investors buying homes last month, likely reflecting growing demand for rental accommodation as the economy reverts to normal, thanks to vaccinations against COVID-19.

“While competition for homes has eased somewhat since the mania months earlier this year, competition is still fierce and prices are still rising at double-digit rates,” said Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union in Vienna, Virginia. “The problem is especially acute for lower-income buyers given prices and home availability are still skewed toward higher-priced homes.”

Existing home sales rose 0.8 percent, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.34 million, units last month, the highest level since January. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast sales falling to a rate of 6.20 million units.

A construction worker carries lumber
A shortage of lumber and other building materials has hindered construction of new houses.
Bloomberg via Getty Images

Sales rose in the most affordable Midwest region and the densely populated South, but fell in the Northeast and were unchanged in the West, which is the most expensive region.

Home resales, which account for the bulk of US home sales, dropped 5.8 percent on a year-on-year basis.

First-time buyers accounted for 29 percent of sales last month, up from 28 percent in September and down from 32 percent a year ago. Individual investors or second-home buyers made up 17 percent of transactions. That compared to 13 percent in September and 14 percent a year ago.

Sales soared over summer last year amid an exodus from cities to suburbs and other low-density locations as Americans sought more spacious accommodations for home offices and online schooling during the pandemic.

A real estate agent places a Sold sign on a Spanish style house
First-time buyers were responsible for 29 percent of house sales in October.
Getty Images

With vaccinations allowing workers to return to offices and schools to reopen for in-person learning, the pandemic tailwind has subsided. Sales have declined from a peak of 6.73 million unit-pace in October 2020, but demand for housing remains strong and continues to run against modest supply.

The median existing house price increased 13.1 percent from a year earlier, to $353,900 in October.

There were 1.25 million previously owned homes on the market in October, down 12 percent from a year ago. Last month, properties typically stayed on the market for 18 days. That compared to 17 days in September and 21 days a year ago.

A sold sign in front of a yellow house
The current housing market poses particularly difficult challenges to low-income prospective buyers.
Getty Images/iStockphoto

Eighty-two percent of homes sold in October were on the market for less than a month.

Government data last week showed a sharp decline in single-family homebuilding in October and the largest backlog of houses yet to be constructed in 15 years because of shortages of materials and labor. That could boost housing inventory when the supply constraints ease.

At October’s sales pace, it would take 2.4 months to exhaust the current inventory, down from 2.5 months a year ago. A six-to-seven-month supply is viewed as a healthy balance between supply and demand.

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