The Pittsburgh Steelers head to Indianapolis to take on the Colts in a Monday Night Football game that may have more appeal for bettors than casual fans.
The pregame narrative: Parris Campbell has a strong connection with Matt Ryan that should allow him to make an impact on Monday, Pat Freiermuth has been feasting in the middle of the field and Jonathan Taylor could be in for a long day.
Here are our Steelers vs. Colts Week 12 prop picks for November 28.
Odds as of 11:56 a.m. on 11/27/2022.
Steelers vs. Colts Week 12 prop picks
Best Bet : Parris Campbell over 42.5 receiving yards (-113)
Michael Pittman Jr. is the clear No. 1 receiver for the Colts, but Campbell is edging toward 1B status as the season goes on.
After doing very little early in the season, the 25-year-old has found his stride.
| Split | Targets/game | Receptions/game | Yards/game |
| First five games | 3 | 2.2 | 22.4 |
| Last six games | 7.5 | 5.5 | 54.7 |
Those numbers understate how far he’s come as he had just four catches for 58 yards during the two games started by Sam Ehlinger. When Ryan’s started lately, Campbell has been fed the football.
That pattern seems likely to repeat on Monday against a Steelers team that’s allowed 272.1 passing yards per game — the second-highest total in the NFL.
Expect the Colts to make things happen through the air in primetime, and for Campbell to play a significant role in their success.
Key stat: Campbell has hit this over in his last four appearances with Ryan at QB, averaging 67.5 yards per game during that span.
Quick picks
Freiermuth over 47.5 receiving yards (-117): The big tight end isn’t the most explosive pass catcher around, but he’s been a consistent middle-of-the-field presence. The 24-year-old has averaged 53.6 yards per game and cleared this over in three of his last four games.
With Chase Claypool gone to Chicago, Freiermuth has become Kenny Pickett‘s top target on short and intermediate routes. While the Indianapolis Colts passing defence he’ll face is solid overall, it has struggled against tight ends, ranking 27th against them per Football Outsiders’ DVOA.
Taylor under 85.5 rushing yards (-117): This line would’ve been insulting low for Taylor last season, but he’s cleared it just twice in eight games this year. The only time he hit this over was against the Houston Texans and Las Vegas Raiders — two of the NFL’s worst defences.
Pittsburgh’s defence has been a middle-of-the-pack group in 2022, but the unit is difficult to run on and it looks better with T.J. Watt back from injury. Only four teams have allowed fewer rushing yards per carry than the Steelers (4.0), indicating that it could be a tough day for the 2021 rushing leader.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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