/https://www.thestar.com/content/dam/thestar/sports/sports-betting/2022/04/27/red-sox-vs-blue-jays-prop-picks-matt-chapman-delivers-wednesday-night/2022-04-Matt-Chapman.jpg "Partner Content | Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks: Matt Chapman delivers Wednesday night")
Following their last-gasp comeback on Tuesday night, the Toronto Blue Jays can clinch a series win Wednesday when they face the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre.
The pregame narrative: Tuesday’s 6-5 score misrepresents how difficult it was for either side to plate runs, as eight of the 11 runs came in the eighth inning and beyond. Boston’s Michael Wacha starts Wednesday, and although he’s been solid to begin the season, he has a checkered history against Toronto.
Check out our top Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks for April 27.
Premium betting is coming to Ontario. Register here for exclusive benefits, promos and NorthStar Bets content.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks overview
- Matt Chapman over 0.5 bases (-125)
- Bo Bichette over 0.5 runs (+110)
- Michael Wacha over 2.5 earned runs (+100)
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks
Best bet: Chapman over 0.5 bases (-125)
Chapman’s skill set, paired with Wacha’s pitch arsenal, should be a winning combination for the Blue Jays’ third baseman.
Last year was the worst of Chapman’s career from an offensive standpoint, but he still managed to drum up positive value against two pitch types: four-seam fastballs (+1) and changeups (+8).
Read more: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays betting picks
Want to guess which pitches Wacha throws the most?
So far, Wacha has used his four-seamer and changeup 69.1% of the time. Hitters are only 3-for-36 (.083) against those offerings with 10 strikeouts, but Chapman will do his best to flip that script. Here’s how he’s fared this season:
| Pitch type | wOBA | SLG | Run value |
| Four-seam fastball | .359 | .500 | +2 |
| Changeup | .300 | .333 | 0 |
Chapman has been essentially league average at the plate (101 OPS+) through the first three weeks but claiming one base is not a very big ask. Though he’s never faced Wacha before, he’s bound to find a pitch he wants to hit.
Key stat: Chapman has recorded 11 hits in his past 10 games, clearing the 0.5-base mark eight times.
Quick picks
Bichette over 0.5 runs (+110): Bichette didn’t follow up Monday’s grand slam with any additional fireworks, but he did put two balls in play on Tuesday with 100+ mph exit velocities. The shortstop also has a seven-game on-base streak in the works, and he’s scored in four consecutive matchups.
Somehow, Bichette has nine runs so far despite a paltry .238 on-base percentage. That’s a credit to the bats behind him, but there’s plenty of room to grow if he starts playing closer to his career OBP (.337).
Wacha over 2.5 earned runs (+100): We’re reaching back to lean on a larger sample here, given that Wacha has only yielded three runs total across three starts. From 2019-21, Wacha held a 5.11 ERA over 285.1 innings. His hard-hit rate in that span (39.2%) was also much greater than it is now (32.4%).
In his one true start against Toronto last year — the other “start” came as a two-inning opener — Wacha allowed six runs in six innings.
Odds courtesy of Sportingbet as of 11:50 a.m. ET on 04/27/2022.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
For all the latest Sports News Click Here
For the latest news and updates, follow us on Google News.
