Partner Content | Parks vs. Fernandez Bad Homburg Open picks and odds: Fade Canadian on the grass

Leylah Fernandez makes her 2023 grass debut at the Bad Homburg Open against Alycia Parks.

The pregame narrative: Fernandez doesn’t have much experience on the grass courts, making it hard to trust her as a favourite. Her opponent, Parks, is struggling ahead of this contest but she’s worth backing as an underdog in a match that should be close.

Check out our Parks vs. Fernandez Bad Homburg Open picks for June 26.

Tennis odds as of 12:28 p.m. on 06/25/2023.

Parks vs. Fernandez Bad Homburg Open picks

Best Bet : Parks to win (+160)

There’s simply no value in betting on Fernandez in this match.

Although she’s experiencing plenty of doubles success this year, her work as a singles competitor isn’t overly impressive. She’s 17-13 overall with only eight of those wins coming at the WTA 250 level or higher in non-qualifying matches.

Parks isn’t having a banner year, either, dropping four consecutive matches ahead of this one including a pair on grass. The simple fact that she’s played on grass this year, however, supplies her with a bit of an edge over her opponent.

Fernandez hasn’t played a singles match on this surface since 2021.

The Canadian has only played three matches on grass in her entire singles career, boasting an underwhelming 1-2 record.

Fernandez’s status as a -200 favourite makes it very difficult to find any markets worth touching. As a result, we’re going to side with Parks.

Key stat: Although Parks is 0-2 on the grass in 2023, she did go 4-4 on the green last year.

Quick pick

Over 2.5 sets (+138) : We don’t see either competitor coming out and dominating, and therefore we’ll take the plus-money odds on this match going the distance.

Parks has an excellent serve but she has command issues. She has totalled an impressive 22 aces in her two matches on grass this year, but she also has 32 double faults.

The grass favours big servers like Parks, which means she’ll take control of this match for stretches. The control woes, however, will gift Fernandez some points and should keep this contest close.

Fernandez, meanwhile, has needed a third set in each of her last three matches.

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SP

Steven Psihogios writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. The Star’s parent company has a minority interest in NorthStar Bets. Follow him on Twitter: @StevenPsihogios

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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