Even with a few teams hitting the bye week, we’ve got plenty of parlay-worthy action in Week 6 of the NFL season.
The pregame narrative: Tampa Bay’s defence should have a field day against Kenny Pickett and the struggling Steelers, while Jacksonville and Indianapolis have both been far more impressive on the defensive side of the ball. Elsewhere, the Ravens’ dynamic offence attempts to put the Giants in their place.
Check out our two best NFL Week 6 parlay picks. We’ve got a team-centric combo and a ticket that focuses on player props.
Odds as of 12:47 p.m. on 10/14/2022.
NFL Week 6 parlay picks
Parlay No. 1: Buccaneers -6.5 + Neither JAX/IND to reach 30 points + Ravens moneyline (+236)
The first instalment of the Kenny Pickett show didn’t go too well for Pittsburgh, and we shudder to think about the sequel.
Pickett’s offence produced three measly points against an admittedly ferocious Bills defence, and the Bucs have a top-tier defensive unit, too. Tampa ranks sixth in total and scoring defence, and its nine turnovers are tied for fifth. We teased this spread down two points for additional safety, but the Bucs are in a good position to win comfortably.
Between the two of them, the Colts and Jaguars have only scored or allowed 30-plus points once. When they last met in Week 2, Jacksonville dusted its division foe in a 24-0 victory.
If the Colts are going to climb out of the offensive DVOA basement, we don’t expect it to happen now. And both defences should continue to prevent offensive explosions as they have through five weeks.
Lastly, while the Giants boast the better record in Sunday’s matchup against the Ravens, we believe Baltimore is proving to be a Super Bowl contender that sometimes lacks stability.
The Ravens have trailed for fewer than three cumulative minutes this season, and yet they’ve already lost twice. Still, their dynamic offence — second in DVOA — should be able to (literally) outrun a Giants offence hampered by Daniel Jones’ shortcomings and a thin receiving corps.
Week 6 parlay No. 2
Barkley over 104.5 rushing/receiving yards + London under 4.5 receptions + Hurts over 284.5 passing/rushing yards (+518)
Although we’re backing the Ravens in our team-centric parlay, we can’t ignore how significant Saquon Barkley is for this Giants’ offence. His 23 touches per game are second in the NFL (behind only Joe Mixon), giving us an excellent opportunity baseline.
Barkley has topped this total yardage line in four of five games, averaging 135.2 scrimmage yards per season — the most in football.
Kyle Pitts returned to practice this week and could definitely steal some looks from Drake London, but that’s not even our primary concern for the rookie wideout.
London has fallen under this line in three consecutive games, catching nine of 20 targets in that span. Marcus Mariota is one of the least accurate quarterbacks (57.7% completion rate, 30th in NFL), and the target volume for London in recent weeks hasn’t been high enough to give us faith in taking the over.
Additionally, the 49ers rank fifth in defensive DVOA against WR1 targets in opposing offences.
In the Sunday Night Football matchup, Jalen Hurts will face his toughest test yet against a stellar Cowboys defence. But Hurts’ multi-dimensional skill set should help him clear this total, as it has in four of five games so far.
Even if Hurts is running for his life outside the pocket, he has the ability to eat up yards on the ground. The quarterback is second in the NFL in yards per attempt (8.5) while averaging more than 50 rushing yards per game.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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