:format(webp)/https://www.thestar.com/content/dam/thestar/sports/sports-betting/2022/05/24/blue-jays-vs-cardinals-prop-picks-expect-bichette-and-arenado-to-produce/2022-05-bobichette_may242022.jpg "Partner Content | Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks: Expect Bichette and Arenado to produce")
The Toronto Blue Jays need a win on Tuesday to avoid dropping a series to the St. Louis Cardinals and having their May record fall to 8-13.
The pregame narrative: The Cardinals’ top hitters should thrive despite a tough matchup with Kevin Gausman, while the Blue Jays’ lineup experimentation could help Bo Bichette drive in some runs.
Here are our best Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks for May 24.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks overview
- Nolan Arenado over 0.5 RBI (+195)
- Tommy Edman over 0.5 runs (+135)
- Bo Bichette over 0.5 RBI (+163)
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks
Best bet: Arenado over 0.5 RBI (+195)
This line is a reflection of Gausman’s effect on this game, but it undersells Arenado’s ability to bring runners home. The elite third baseman is batting cleanup in a lineup that has averaged 6.9 runs per game in its last 10 contests, and his RBI total ranks sixth in MLB.
Read more: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals picks
Arenado’s .294/.353/.556 line indicates that he’s having an outstanding season, and he is well-suited to a matchup with Toronto’s top arm.
While Gausman has been tough on just about everyone, one thing Arenado can count on is seeing some fastballs from the right-hander. The Blue Jays starter throws four-seamers more than any other pitch (49.2%) and the offering has been plenty hittable in 2022.
Lining up hitters’ success against Gausman’s heater and Arenado’s numbers against four-seamers this year, it’s clear that the six-time all-star should see some pitches to hit Tuesday.
| Split | AVG | SLG | Hard-Hit Percentage |
| Hitters vs. Gausman’s four-seamer | .360 | .477 | 53.4% |
| Arenado vs. four-seamers | .378 | .778 | 45.0% |
If Arenado can lay off a splitter or two, he’ll get opportunities to do some damage, and there should be traffic on the bases in front of him.
The man who hits directly before Arenado — Paul Goldschmidt — has a .403 on-base percentage, a number bested only by Mike Trout and Manny Machado.
St. Louis’ leadoff man (Tommy Edman) has the majors’ 22nd-ranked OBP (.369), and its No. 2 hitter (Nolan Gorman) has been on base eight times in his first four MLB games.
Key stat: Arenado ranks in the top seven in the majors in RBI (32) and plate appearances with runners in scoring position (52).
Quick picks
Edman over 0.5 runs (+135): This line is a strong value for a player who’s behind only Mookie Betts, Aaron Judge, Trout and Machado in runs. Gausman makes life a little harder for Edman, but he has hit .400 against offspeed pitches this season, suggesting he can handle the right-hander’s trademark splitter.
The second baseman has scored in more than half of his games in 2022.
Bichette over 0.5 RBI (+163): While most of the Blue Jays lineup is struggling, Bichette has put together a strong May, hitting .263/.314/.488 with four of his six homers. If Charlie Montoyo pencils him into the No. 3 or cleanup spot again, he’s good value on this prop.
Bichette’s combination of solid power and no patience always gives him a good shot to drive in runs if put in the right spot to do so.
Odds courtesy of Sportradar, via NorthStar Bets, as of 10:07 a.m. ET on 05/24/2022.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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