Colorado logs a second straight month of employment gains on strong government hiring
Since last fall, Colorado employers have gone from adding jobs one month to shedding them the next, resulting in an economy that has behaved more like a sputtering lawn mower than a finely tuned engine that fires up on the first pull of the cord.
But that changed in May, when the state finally strung together two consecutive months of respectable job gains, according to an update Friday from the Colorado Department of Labor and Employment. Despite that, 2023 still appears to be lagging.
“After five months it seems the Colorado labor market is underperforming the U.S., assuming there will be no major revisions in the future. It is easy to look at the data and see where changes are occurring. It is more difficult to understand the structural changes in the economy that are causing these changes,” said Broomfield economist Gary Horvath in an email.
“In other words, why is the Colorado economy struggling more than other states?” he asked.
Colorado employers added 3,900 nonfarm jobs between April and May, which follows a revised gain of 6,100 jobs between March and April. Originally, the CDLE had estimated an increase of 7,200 jobs in April.
The private sector added 2,800 jobs last month while governments added 1,100. Other services, a catchall category, was up by 3,900 jobs; leisure and hospitality was up by 2,900 and manufacturing was up by 1,300.
“After declining for two straight months, Colorado’s manufacturing sector bounced back in May, adding 1,300 jobs. This was the largest growth for this sector since June 2020 when it added 1,300 jobs,” said Cole Anderson, a research analyst with the Common Sense Institute, in comments on the employment report.
The biggest declines came in professional and business services, down by 1,900; construction, off by 1,800, and financial activities, which shed 1,200 positions.
Over the past year, the state has added 30,200 jobs, which translates into a relatively anemic 1.1% growth rate. Four sectors have lost jobs in the past 12 months. The state’s economy would be in a much weaker spot absent the 17,200 jobs added in the public sector and the 21,200 that came in leisure and hospitality.
And after months of lagging behind, government employment is finally back above pre-pandemic levels — 464,700 in May compared to 462,100 jobs in February 2020, said Ryan Gedney, a senior labor economist with the CDLE, during a news call Friday morning.
Higher interest rates are impacting employment in construction and financial activities, which includes mortgage lending and real estate. More worrisome at first glance are the declines in professional and business services, a diverse category that represents some of the highest-paying jobs.
Gedney said most of the shrinkage there appears to be coming from employment agencies and not professional and technical services, which covers high-paying professions like attorneys, accountants and research scientists. Employers aren’t bringing on as many temporary workers as they have in the past.
On a positive note, the state’s unemployment rate held steady at 2.8% in May. By contrast, the U.S. unemployment rate rose from 3.4% to 3.7% last month. With the exception of February, Colorado has had a seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate of 2.8% since September.
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