:format(webp)/https://www.thestar.com/content/dam/thestar/sports/sports-betting/2022/07/10/blue-jays-vs-mariners-picks-and-odds-bet-on-toronto-to-keep-sliding/2022-07-CP159965071-Cropped.jpg "Partner Content | Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks and odds: Bet on Toronto to keep sliding")
The Toronto Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games, and need a win in Seattle to head into the off-day on a positive note.
The pregame narrative: With Kevin Gausman unable to start, the Blue Jays will rely on their bullpen to get them through this game. Seattle counters with right-hander Logan Gilbert in a game where they could tie Toronto in the standings.
Here are our Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks for July 10.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks overview
- Mariners moneyline (-121)
- Mariners over 3.5 runs (-129)
- Mariners to lead after three innings (+143)
Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks
Best bet: Mariners moneyline (-121)
The Blue Jays are in a gruesome downward spiral at the moment, and there’s no reason to believe that will end on Sunday.
With Gausman’s ankle injury forcing Toronto to lean on its relievers, the club will be at a significant pitching disadvantage against Gilbert and the Mariners. The 25-year-old right-hander averages 95.9 mph on his fastball, possesses a 2.61 ERA and has yet to give his team fewer than five innings in a start this season.
That’s not easy pickings for a lineup that’s been one of the league’s least explosive over the last seven days:
| AVG | MLB Rank | OBP | MLB Rank | SLG | MLB Rank | wRC+ | MLB Rank |
| .248 | 15th | .293 | 20th | .346 | 20th | 78 | 21st |
The Blue Jays have the talent to bust their slump at any moment, but facing a starter this tough in MLB’s least hitter-friendly park isn’t a likely time for that to happen.
Meanwhile, Seattle is on a winning streak and will face a group of Blue Jays relievers that’s been among the majors’ worst and has adapted well to T-Mobile Park’s offence-smothering ways. The Mariners’ wRC+ at home (110) ranks 11th in the majors.
Earlier in the season, the idea of Seattle playing the role of favourites against Toronto would’ve seemed absurd, but there’s just a single game between the two in the standings. We’re happy to take the Mariners at home when they’ve got a pitching mismatch on their side.
Read more: Sunday Night Baseball picks
Key stat: The Mariners are 12-5 when Gilbert is on the mound.
Quick picks
Mariner over 3.5 runs (-129): Seattle’s lineup has been solid lately with 33 runs scored in seven consecutive wins. Facing a team emptying out their bullpen can be difficult, but the Blue Jays’ relief unit ranks 26th in the majors in fWAR with an unimpressive 4.30 ERA. Four runs aren’t a tall ask from a team on a roll facing mediocre competition.
Read more: AL MVP odds
Mariners to lead after three innings (+143): Seattle isn’t just in a good position to score runs on Sunday, they can also count on strong pitching early. Gilbert has allowed opponents to hit just .204/.261/.282 the first time through the order resulting in a 0.93 ERA. We’ll back those numbers against the Blue Jays’ early-game mystery box any day of the week.
Odds as of 10:59 a.m. ET on 07/10/22.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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